Iran and oil markets in 2013

By Finance

Iran will probably be important geopolitical factor in the oil markets next year.
It is expected that President Obama will make efforts to find a diplomatic solution with Iran and its nuclear program. It appeared that the US President had the intention to a strike to put economic pressure on Iran.
Diplomatic talks are expected to continue in the next month. 2013 will be crucial for this dialogue.
There are 2 scenarios:
To allow Iran to develop its nuclear program (with some restrictions)
Military conflict.
There is a possibility of Israeli strike next spring in Iran if the last does not slow or stop its nuclear program. In this case oil prices will change dramatically.
Obama is for green management investments and for energy conservation as a means to ring down gasoline consumption and prices.